Dispelling the "trickle-down" myth

Dick Gephardt, who couldn't even beat Michael Dukakis for the Democratic nomination in 1988, is at it again--the blue-collar entry in a field of would-be Democratic challengers to George W. Bush's re-election bid. Since Gephardt is supportive of Bush's Iraq policy on the whole, he has to make a name for himself in the Democratic base on the economic front--and this means intellectually dishonest rhetoric. He has therefore pledged a platform based on "trickle-up economics." Economist Steven Landsburg ably derides this speciosity in this piece published today. Excerpt:

The Democrats have been using it [the phrase "trickle-down economics"] to bash Republicans at least since 1932. It seems to refer to any Republican policy that has any chance of benefiting anyone other than the desperately poor. The underlying reasoning seems to go something like this: "We all know that governments should exist only to help the poor. But these Republicans are doing something that might help the rich. Therefore they must believe that helping the rich can help the poor. Ha ha ha."

To which the right responses, of course, are: "No, governments do not exist only to help the poor; they exist, ideally, to preserve the rights of all citizens, regardless of their income." And: "Anyway, whaddya mean, 'ha ha ha'?"

But to those who still buy the old line that supply-side policies, such as capital gains tax cuts, amount to "trickle-down economics" first should realize that "there has never been any school of economists who believed in a trickle down theory. No such theory can be found in even the most voluminous and learned books on the history of economics. It is a straw man." This according to the economist Thomas Sowell who does a tremendous service by clearing up this issue in this piece written in 2001. Supply-siders don't believe in "trickle-down"--they are only said to believe in it by liberals.

This excerpt from Sowell's piece explains why supply-side, Reaganomics does NOT equate to trickle-down economics (and why if Gebhardt truly wanted a "trickle-up" economic platform he should support the Bush plan):

Those who imagine that profits first benefit business owners -- and that benefits only belatedly trickle down to workers -- have the sequence completely backward. When an investment is made, whether to build a railroad or to open a new restaurant, the first money is spent hiring people to do the work. Without that, nothing happens.

Money goes out first to pay expenses and then comes back as profits later -- if at all. The high rate of failure of new businesses makes painfully clear that there is nothing inevitable about the money coming back.

Even with successful businesses, years can elapse between the initial investment and the return of earnings. From the time when an oil company begins spending money to explore for petroleum to the time when the first gasoline resulting from that exploration comes out of a pump at a filling station, a decade may have passed. In the meantime, all sorts of employees have been paid -- geologists, engineers, refinery workers, truck drivers.

Nor is the oil industry unique. No one who begins publishing a newspaper expects to break even -- much less make a profit -- during the first year or two. But reporters and other members of the newspaper staff expect to be paid every payday, even while the paper shows only red ink on the bottom line.

In short, the sequence of payments is directly the opposite of what is assumed by those who talk about a "trickle-down" theory. As for capital gains, some countries don't tax capital gains at all. They tax a business' earnings, but not capital gains, which are harder to define and sometimes illusory.

3 Comments
j said:

so, what I get from this is that Supply-side economics works because, when the wealthy are given tax cuts, they go out and start new businesses? That seems a bit unlikely. In reality, the wealth of the rich is provided by the work of the lower classes (and vise-versa, though the individuals at the top see more concentrated personal revenue). Since it is those at the bottom of the pyramid that support those at the top, it is the responsibility of those at the top to keep those at the bottom standing. Being able to buy more Italian suits and German cars does nothing to this effect.

CAlden said:

The question is, who can put those resources to better use? Should we allocate resources by proxy, relying on a central bureaucracy to make decisions on behalf of a nation about how resources should be invested? This, otherwise known as socialism, has proven to be a very inefficient way to allocate resources because central planners, whatever their intentions, are swayed by political forces and special interested, and even if they weren't have an impossible task of understand complex systems. The alternative is to allow resource allocations decisions to remain with individuals, which has been proven to be a much more efficient system in the aggregate, and to encourage investment and foster overall prosperity. And much of this investment goes FIRST to the "lower-classes" (as you call it) and only if they are productively applied and return profits will they go to those who invested in the first place. Finally, it isn't enough to complain about anecdotes of wealthy people buying Italian suites and German cars--a caricature which even if it were true wouldn't be such a bad thing: that money goes to people building and selling those things afterall--but one has to be confident that the alternative that one is proposing, in this case taxation so that politicians not people are making resource allocation decisions, will actually improve things. There is no evidence, and plenty to the contrary, that government control of resource allocation produces more general prosperity or allocates that prosperity more equally, than the alternative: socialism.

j said:

Firstly, the last thing I suggested was complete bureaucratic control over resource alocation; which you've aptly identified as socialism. However, it is no secret that our civilization relies on socialist programs such as public education, public police forces, and other social services. Other governments - Canada, for example - go furhter, providing publicly funded health care to all of its citizens, and still remains within the bounds of capitalism.

Given that taxes need to be paid, the top 5 percent of the country - that earns more than the bottom 50 percent of the country - do not need tax breaks to get by. If anything they are more resposible for the maintenence of a system which allows them to live in such luxury. It is, admittedly, cliche to say that all they buy is German cars and Italian suits. However, this comment was made for a specific reason; German cars com from Germany (for the most part), and Italian suits come from Italy. Stimulating these industries does little for the American economy.

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Chris Alden

Christopher J. Alden is Chairman & CEO of Six Apart Ltd., the world's leading blogging company. Six Apart acquired Rojo Networks, Inc., creator of an innovative RSS feed reading service, where Mr. Alden was co-founder and CEO. Before Rojo, he was CEO of Red Herring Communications, Inc., publisher of Red Herring magazine -- described by the Wall Street Journal as the "bible of Silicon Valley" - which he helped launch out of his house in 1993. Prior to that he founded Computer Guides, a consultancy.
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